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Fat Pitch Financials

Special situation stocks and value investing

Archive for the 'Stock Research' Category

Western Sizzlin Site Visit

Apr 27th, 2008 @ 10:37 PM

This past Saturday I had the opportunity to finally visit one of the Western Sizzlin Corporation (WEST) restaurants. The particular restaurant I visited was actually a Great American Buffet branded Western Sizzlin restaurant. After fishing with my son on the Potomac River all morning, we stopped by the Alexandria, VA restaurant that was fairly close to where we […]

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Consistent Cash Creators, Part 4: Normalized EY

Mar 27th, 2008 @ 5:35 AM

Last week I received a great suggestion for normalizing the earnings yield number I use to sort the list of Consistent Cash Creators. Instead of just using EBIT from the previous 12 months, I instead used the average EBIT over the past 7 years divided by enterprise value for today’s screen. The idea here is that […]

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Consistent Cash Creators, Part 3: The Value Screen

Mar 20th, 2008 @ 5:27 AM

Continuing my series on Consistent Cash Creators, this week I’ve pulled all my previous work together to create an actual screen. In Part 1 of Consistent Cash Creators, I examined the most consistent cash generating companies. I received some excellent feedback. In response to a comment regarding the appropriateness of using a linear trend model, I examined whether […]

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Consistent Cash Creators, Part 2: Linear vs. Exponential Growth

Feb 29th, 2008 @ 5:11 PM

Stop using compound growth rates now! While using a percent growth rate for free cash flows might be conventional, mathematically convenient and easier to convey to others, it is not as accurate or conservative as using an absolute rate of change from a linear trend model. Value investing is all about being conservative and accurate, so think twice […]

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Consistent Cash Creators

Feb 8th, 2008 @ 11:52 AM

The topic of consistent free cash flows came up in the Value Investing News Forum last week. A member was scanning the S&P 500 one company at a time looking for companies that are consistent free cash flow generators. I thought there might be a better way to scan far more companies to identify the ones that […]

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What is Western Sizzlin, Really?

Jan 30th, 2008 @ 6:40 AM

Sardar Biglari describes what Western Sizzlin (WSZL) really is in his recent letter to ITEX Corporation (ITEX) shareholders:
What you are getting is not a steakhouse even though that is how our name originated.
Western is a holding company, owning interests in other businesses, in whole and in part, with the prime objective of achieving high returns on capital in […]

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Steak n Shake Earnings Call Notes

Jan 25th, 2008 @ 12:00 PM

Last night I listened to Steak n Shake’s first quarter 2008 earnings conference call. You might be wondering why I was interested in this conference call. The reason I made time to listen to this call was because of a recent letter Sandar Biglari of Western Sizzlin (WSZL) sent to Steak n Shake (SNS) shareholders. Since I hold Western Sizzlin in both […]

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Fat Pitch Financial’s Pick for the Top Financial Bloggers Face-Off

Jan 9th, 2008 @ 12:37 AM

Asif Suria of SINLetter is running a stock picking contest where he has invited top stock bloggers to a stock picking challenge. The contest involves selecting 3 picks (long or short) that will perform best in the first quarter of 2008 along with predicting the S&P 500 level at the end of the first quarter in […]

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Valuing Western Sizzlin

Dec 12th, 2007 @ 11:57 PM

On Monday, Western Sizzlin (WSZL) announced the final results of its rights offering. As was discussed in my post announcing that I was buying Western Sizzlin for the Fat Pitch Financials Portfolio, Sardar Biglari issued 898,875 new shares of WSZL through a rights offering that started on October 17 and ended November 16, 2007.  The rights allowed holders to purchase Western Sizzlin stock […]

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Value Faceoff: Home Depot vs. Lowe’s

Oct 12th, 2007 @ 12:51 PM

With the recent liquidity crisis in the subprime market, the formerly red hot housing sector has finally started to cool off. Home equity loans are costing significantly more now and future home price appreciation expectations are finally getting back to reality. These factors have caused investors and shoppers to curtail their demand for home improvement […]

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